Implied Probability Is the Only Forecast You Can Audit

Markets are full of predictions that cannot be checked until after the fact. Implied probability is different. It is already ...
Houston Chronicle

What Is the Importance of Probability Rules in a Business?

Probability has a popular meaning that is not the same as the mathematical meaning. As a small-business owner, you may act on hunches, guesses and instincts. After such actions, you might even say ...
The New Yorker

Probability Calculator: Chances That Your Friend Bails Tonight

I’ll most likely be able to get there a little after 8!” = Bring granola bars. You’ll eat your first bite of dinner at 9:17 P.M.
Scientific American

Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...
The Conversation

Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Zachary del Rosario has received funding from the National Science Foundation and Toyota Research Institute. Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher ...